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CHINA GRAIN(Oct 22)  

2015-10-27 22:30:45|  分类: Farmer report( |  标签: |举报 |字号 订阅

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Thursday  Oct 22

Volume Grains, Issue 20151022

Inside This Issue

News Briefs. 3

1 Monthly Analysis of China’s Paddy Price and Supply & Demand  3

2 Monthly Analysis of China’s Wheat Price and Supply & Demand  11

3 Monthly Analysis of China’s Corn Market and Supply & Demand Balance  19

4 Beer Output of China’s Scale Enterprises and Wheat Supply and Demand Balance Analysis, October, 2015  32

5 Monitoring and Analysis of Word’s Grain planting ,Supply and Demand Balance Oct, 2015  38

Weather Summary (October 20 to October 26) 50

Crop Conditions. 51

Weekly Agriculture Condition. 51

semilate-late Paddy. 51

Weather Forecast (October 27 to November 2, 2015) 52

Grain auction. 53

Grain Purchase. 56

Price Trend. 56

1 USD Value and exchange rate of key currency  56

2 Comprehensive Futures Price Index of Grain. 57

3 Spot Price Index and Processing Profit 58

4 Wheat and Flour 60

5 Corn, Starch and Energy. 63

6 Paddy and Rice. 68

7 Barley and coarse cereals. 70

8 Ocean freight of bulk grain. 73

9 Price & Change. 73

10 Index of Table & Fig. 81

11 Report Profile. 85

 

 


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Analyst: Ma Wen Feng

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Service. Lisaa.li @boabc.com

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Bloghttp://t.qq.com/mawenfenglg931

l  Up to October 19th, about 76% autumn grain crops nationwide has been harvested, the harvest progress decreased 1.9% year on year; of which, 74% middle-season rice (single-cropping paddy) has been harvested, the progress was the same as last year; 84% corn has been harvested, down by 4.6% year on year; 87% soybean has been harvested, the progress rate increased 2.9% year on year.

l  Up to October 19th, 66% winter wheat sowing has been finished, the sowing progress was the same as last year; 53% winter rape sowing has been completed, the sowing progress moved down by 1.8% year on year.

l  Up to October 23rd, 6.829 million hectares crops have been harvested and 6.061 million hectares land has been prepared across Henan province. The sown area of wheat has reached 4.729 million hectares, accounting for 87.5% of predicted area, the daily process was 115 thousand hectares; 3.016 million hectares wheat seedlings have sprouted. Wheat sowing in Anyang and Zhoukou basically has been finished, and in Pingdingshan and Jiyuan over 90% wheat sowing work has been completed.

l  The rate of machine-reaped corn reached 75.1% in Anhui province, increasing 8.1% year on year, the rate of machine-reaped mid-late paddy was over 90%. Near 90% seeded wheat was sown with machine.

 

10 Index of Table & Fig

Fig1 Paddy Monthly price & Actually Changes

Fig2 Monthly price  of 3 Kinds Paddy

Fig3 Rice Production by Scale Mills in 2009 ~ 2015

Fig4 Paddy Consumption by Scale Mills in 2009 ~ 2015

Fig5 Monthly Operating Rate,China Ricemills,2006 ~ 2015

Fig6 Constitution of Monthly Consumption, China Paddy,2007 ~ 2015

Fig7 Import & Export Volume of Paddy ,China

Fig8 Monthly End of Stock and Safety Index, China Paddy,2006 ~ 2015

Fig9 Monthly Harvest Volume & progress of china paddy

Fig10 Procurement Progress of China Paddy by Scale Enterprise,2011-2015

Fig11 state-owned Paddy Auction Deals & Price Trend

Fig12 China’s Paddy inventory Forms of Monthly End,,210-2015

Fig13 China’s Paddy inventory Forms of latest Monthly End

Fig14 The inventory and sales process of Paddy farmers,2010-2015

Fig15 Crop Years Areas and Production, China Paddy,1991/92 ~ 2015/16

Fig16 Crop Years Consumption inventory, China Paddy,1991/92 ~ 2015/16

Fig17 Crop Years End of Stock and Safety Index, China Paddy,1991/92 ~ 2015/16

Fig18 Readjustment Of Crop Years End Of Stock And Safety Index, China Paddy

Table1 China's Paddy plant and Balance Sheet(Crop Year,2015,10)

Fig19 China wheat monthly price & Actully Changes

Fig20 Scale Flourmills’ Production in 2007 ~ 2015

Fig21 Scale Flourmills’ Wheat Consumption in 2007 ~ 2015

Fig22 Monthly Operating Rate,China Flourmills,2005-2015

Fig23 Constitution of Monthly Consumption, China Wheat,2005 ~ 2015

Fig24 Monthly Import & Export volume of wheat ,China

Fig25 Monthly End of Stock and Safety Index, China Wheat,2008-2015

Fig26 volume of purchase in main areas During purchase season

Fig27 state-owned Wheat Auction Deals & Price Trend

Fig28 China’s Wheat inventory Forms of Monthly End,2009-2015

Fig29 China’s Wheat Expected inventory Forms of latest Monthly End

Fig30 The inventory and sales process of wheat farmers,2009-2015

Fig31 Crop Years End of Areas and production, China Wheat,1991/92 ~ 2015/16

Fig32 Crop Years Consumption inventory, China Wheat,1991/92 ~ 2015/16

Fig33 Crop Years End of Stock and Safety Index, China Wheat,1991/92 ~ 2015/16

Fig34 Readjustment Of Crop Years End Stock And Safety Index, China Wheat

Table2 China's Wheat plant and Balance Sheet(Crop Year,2015,10)

Table3 China's Hight quality Wheat Balance Sheet(Crop Year,2015,10)

Fig35 China Corn Monthly Price & Actully Changes

Fig36 China wheat/Corn Monthly Price Ratio

Fig37 Feed Production & Corn Consumption by Scale Mills,2009-2015

Fig38 Monthly Constitution of China Feed,2008 ~ 2015

Fig39 Monthly Constitution of China Feed of Key Enterprise,2011 ~ 2015

Fig40 Monthly Constitution of China Feed of different Animal For Key Enterprise,2011 ~ 2015

Fig41 Formula Feed Production & Operating Rate by Scale Mills,2009-2015

Fig42 Monthly Constitution of China Feedstuff ,2008 ~ 2015

Fig43 Refined vegetable oil output by Scale Mills,2009-2015

Fig44 Import & Domistic Production of vegetable oil,2008-2015

Fig45 Product/Demand of Domistic Oil Meal,2009-2015

Fig46 Monthly Total supply ,stock & Stock/consump of Protein Feed

Fig47 Monthly Price Of Soybean Meal In China

Fig48 Monthly Domestic supply of Un-corn bulk raw material i,2008-2015

Fig49 Monthly Domestic supply & Demand of Un-corn bulk raw material,2009-2015

Fig50 by-product Import of Grain & Oil,2010-2015

Fig51 Import Volume of feed grain in China

Fig52 Consumption of Corn starch in Key enterprise

Fig53 Production of Corn starch in Key enterprise & national

Fig54 Industry Consumption of Corn

Fig55 Constitution of Monthly Consumption, China Corn,2008 ~ 2015

Fig56 Import & Export Volume of Corn ,china

Fig57 Monthly Harvest Progress of Corn ,china

Fig58 Monthly End of Stock and Safety Index, China Corn,2005-2015

Fig58 state-owned Corn  Auction Deals & Price Trend

Fig60 China’s Corn inventory Forms of Monthly End,2009-2015

Fig61 China’s Corn Expected inventory Forms of latest Monthly End

Fig62 The inventory and sales process of corn farmers,2009-2015

Fig63 Crop Years End of Areas and Production, China Corn,1991/92 ~ 2014/15

Fig64 Crop Years Consumption inventory, China Corn,1991/92 ~ 2014/15

Fig65 Crop Years End of Stock and Safety Index, China Corn,1991/92 ~ 2015/16

Fig66 Monthly Readjustment Of Crop Years End Stock And Safety Index, China Corn

Fig67 Crop Years Safety Index and Prices, China Corn,1991/92 ~ 2014/15

Table4 China's Corn plant and Balance Sheet(2015,10)

Fig68 China Barley Monthly Price & Actully Changes

Fig69 CIFof barely & Price Ratio of  Import barely/ Domistic Wheat

Fig70 Price Ratio of Corn /barely in China

Fig71 Scale Brewery's monthly Production in 2007 ~ 2015

Fig72 Scale Brewery's Cereal & Barely Consumption in 2009 ~ 2015

Fig73 Constitution of Monthly Consumption, China barely,2008 ~ 2015

Fig74 Barely import of china  in 2009 ~ 2015

Fig75 Monthly End of Stock and Safety Index, China barley,2008 ~ 2015

Fig76 China’s Wheat inventory Forms of Monthly End,2009-2015

Fig77 China’s Wheat inventory Forms of latest Month

Fig78 Crop Years End of Areas and Production, China Barley,1998/99 ~ 2015/16

Fig79 Constitution ofCrop Yearly Consumption, China barely,1998/99 ~ 2014/15

Fig80 Crop Years End of Stock and Safety Index, China Barley,1991/92 ~ 2015/16

Fig81 Monthly Readjustment Of Crop Years End Stock And Safety Index, China Barley

Table5 China's Barley plant and Balance Sheet(Crop Year,2015,10)

Fig 82 Monthly Spot & Future Price of Globe Cereal

Fig83 Monthly Price of Globe Cereal

Fig84 Actully Change% By Year of Globe Cereal Monthly Price

Fig85 Monthly tendency of Cereal Price & US$ Value

Fig86 Monthly tendency of Cereal Price & US$ Value

Fig87 Monthly Price of Globe barely, soybean & sorghum

Fig88 Actully Change% By Year of Globe barely, soybean & sorghum

Fig89 Price Ratio of Globe main Cereals

Fig90 Price of world Crude Oils

Fig91 Area and produce of Globe Cereal,2000-2015

Fig92 Production, Consumption & Carryout of Globe Cereal,2003-2015

Fig93Safety Index & Carryout of Globe Cereal,2003-2014

Fig94 Areas of Globe Main Cereals ,2000-2014

Fig95 Production of Globe Main Cereals ,2000-2014

Fig96 Crop Years Consumption of  Globe main cereals,2003-2014

Fig97 Consumption Classified According To The Applications,2003-2015

Fig98 Safety Index & Carryout of  Globe main cereals,2003-2015

Fig99 Yearly Price Index of  Globe main cereals,2003-2014

Table6 Cereal Plant of Globe main states, 2015/16,(2015.10)

Table 7 Wheat Plant of Globe main states, 2015/16,(2015.10)

Table8 Paddy Plant of Globe main states, 2015/16,(2015.10)

Table9  Corn(maize) Plant of Globe main states, 2015/16,(2015.10)

Table10 Barely Plant of Globe main states, 2015/16,(2015.10)

Table11 others Cereal Plant of Globe main states,2014/15,( 2015.10)

Table12 Soybean Plant of Globe main states, 2015/16,(2015.10)

Table13 Globe Cereal Plant and Balance sheet, 2015/16,(2015.10)

Table14 Globe Wheat Plant and Balance sheet, 2015/16,(2015.10)

Table15 Globe Paddyl Plant and Rice Balance sheet, 2015/16,(2015.10)

Table16 Globe Corn Plant and Balance sheet, 2015/16,(2015.10)

Table17 Globe barely Plant and Balance sheet, 2015/16,(2015.10)

Table18 Globe soybean Plant and Balance sheet, 2015/16,(2015.10)

Table19 Precipitation and Temperatures Last Seven Days of main Provinces

Table20 Crop Condition of semilate-late Paddy, 2015/2016

Table21 Crop Condition of Late Paddy, 2015/2016

Fig100 China Grain Auction Deals

Fig101 Wheat Auction Deals & Price Trend

Fig102 Trend of Trading Ratio of Wheat Auctions(%)

Table22 China State-owned Wheat Auctions

Fig103 Trend of Auction Sales of Paddy Procured at Protective Price

Fig104 Trend of Auction Sales price of Paddy Procured at Protective Price

Fig105 Corn Auction Deals & Price Trend

Fig106 Trend of Trading Ratio of Corn Auctions(%)

Fig107 Daily Comprehensive Index of US Dollar

Fig108 Daily Exchange Rate of US$/RMBYuan

Fig109 Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate(%)

Fig110 Comparison of Monetary value VS China Cereals Futures Prices Index

Fig111 Comparison of Monetary value VS International Cereals Futures Prices Index

Fig112 Weekly Agr-Price Index And Trading Volume Of Major Produce In 60 Maim Wholesale Markets

Fig113 Weekly Trading Volume Of MajorLivestock,aquatic&Grain Maim Wholesale Markets

Fig114 Weekly Trading Volume Of Major Grain in Maim Wholesale Markets

Fig115 Weekly Trading Volume Of MajorVegetable& Fruit In 60 Maim Wholesale Markets

Fig116 Price index and of china china husbandry

Fig117 Price index and of Crude Grain and Production

Fig118 Profit Of Grain Processing

Fig119 Price and of Globe Grain

Fig120 Weekly Wholesale Prices of Wheat Flour, China

Fig121 Weekly Wholesale Prices of Wheat Flour, 1st grade & 2nd grade,China

Fig122 Weekly Trading Volume Of Flour in Maim Wholesale Markets

Fig123 Weekly Wholesale Prices of Wheat, China

Fig124 Comparison of Wheat Futures US$ Prices, CZCE vs. CBOT

Fig125 Wheat Spot Price Between Domestic And US-CIF

Fig126 FOB of main wheat export states

Fig127 Weekly Wholesale Prices of Corn, China

Fig128 Corn Futures US$ Price,DCE vs. CBOT

Fig129 Corn Spot Price Gap Between Domestic And US-CIF

Fig130 International pricer of main Corn states

Fig131 Weekly Wholesale Prices of Corn starch, China

Fig132 Future &Wholesale Prices of Corn starch, China

Fig133 Future &Main province Wholesale Prices of Eggs, China

Fig134 Weekly Wholesale Price of China Alcohol, starch& Corn

Fig135 Fuel Ethanol & Oil Futures Prices CBOT

Fig136 Price Ratio of Fuel oil /ethanol Futures  In CBOT

Fig137 Fuel Ethanol Futures Prices of CBOT& China

Fig138 Price ratio of ethanol to Corn in china and USA

Fig139 Price of livehog in china and USA

Fig140 Price ratio of livehog to Corn in china and USA

Fig141 National weekly Price of Chicken & ,Egg to in china

Fig142 Price ratio of hog ,Pork,Chicken,Egg to Feed in china

Fig143 Weekly Wholesale Prices of Indica Paddy and Japonica Paddy, China

Fig144 Weekly Wholesale Prices of Indica rice and Japonica rice, China

Fig145 Weekly Trading Volume Of Rice in Maim Wholesale Markets

Fig146 Price of Rough Rice of CBOT and Early Indica Paddy of CZCE

Fig147 Rice Spot Price Gap Between Domestic And Foreign

Fig148 Barley Future price of ASX and ICE

Fig149 Barley Spot Price Gap Between Domestic And Foreign

Fig150 Barley Spot Price in main plant state

Fig151 Soybean Future price of Dalian & CBOT

Fig152 Domestic soybean price and Distribution price of Import soybean

Fig153 No-Genetically modified soybean price in main state

Fig154 Genetically modified soybean price in main exp-state

Fig155 Price of oats& sorghum in main ex-state

Fig156 Grain ocean freight Rates of China

Fig157 Globe’s Grain ocean freight Rates to China

Table23 Globe’s Grain Future Daily Prices

Table24 China’s Grain & Product Wholesale Weekly Prices in Major Provinces

Table25 Globe’s Grain Wholesale Prices in Major States

Table26 Weekly Globe’s Grain ocean freight Rates to China

11 Report Profile

 China Grains Market Weekly Report is one of the core reports of Beijing Orient Agribusiness Consultant Ltd.(BOABC). It was the first regular report published ever since BOABC was founded and was also the first regular report tracing grain supply and demand in China. Besides, it also contains market price, industry development and enterprises’ operations etc.. Many grain varieties are included, such as wheat, corn, rice, barley, soybean and tubers.

 By monitoring grain supply and demand and price in domestic and international market, the report facilitates grain producing, processing and logistics enterprises to grasp the market trend and take preemptive chances.

Based on whole research on grain market, the report also analyzes and predicts performance of agriculture, grain and food industry economy to help enterprises develop reasonable strategic direction and become an important member in China and world economy. 

    Under the background of global economy integration, grain, cotton, oil, metals, minerals and other commodities have obvious attributes of financial products, whose price trends are also significantly affected by global macro-economy. So the report also makes analysis on macro-economy. 

   

    The report is divided into the following aspects: News Flash, Hot Spot, Weather Condition, Crop Condition, Grain Purchase and Trade, Grain auction and Price Trend. In the hot spot section, following contents are included in regular: 1) domestic and global grain production and consumption 2) consumption and balance sheet of major grain varieties 3) consumption and balance sheet of major processed grain products 4) performance of planting, processing and logistics industry. 

 

    The report not only provides decision-making references for large enterprises but also provide guidance for the direction of the news media. What’s more important, it is also the major reference for central and local agricultural departments to make policy and major data source of FAO, International Grains Council and World Bank etc.

 

Strategic support organizations: Ministry of Agriculture, Ministry of Commerce, State Administration of Grain, China Customs, National Bureau of Statistics are major sources of data in the report. Meanwhile, the report will send back to these organizations for their references.

 

Strategic Media Partners: domestic media includes Xinhua News Agency, Economic Information Daily, International Finance, Reference News, Global Times, CCTV Economic Channel, New Countryside Daily of the Ministry of Commerce, Beijing Business Today, South Weekend and the Twenty-first Century Business Report. International media includes Reuters, Bloomberg, Dow Jones, The New York Times, Washington Post and other famous international media.

 

Strategic Cooperation Enterprises: domestic enterprises include COFCO, Sino-grain, Chinatex Corporation, Chongqing Grain Group, Jilin Grain Group, Lenovo, Founder, New Hope Liuhe, Haid, Zhengbang, Shuanghui, Xiamen Mingsui Grains&Oils Trading, Fujian C&D, Four Gardener, Wudeli Flour Group, Fada Flour Group etc.. Financial institutions include China Merchants Bank, CITIC Securities, Ping An Securities, Co-win Capital, CICC, Galaxy Securities, Luzheng Futures etc.


price:22000RmbYuan/Yearly

 


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