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独立经济研究者,东方艾格农业、食品分析师,新华社特约经济分析师。农民出身,从事粮食加工技术、粮食棉花的行业、世界经济、公司战略研究,尤其关注中国粮食安全、宏观经济和国际食品企业的研究。 每日接受来自世界各地媒体关于粮食、棉花、物价、宏观经济的等以民生内容的采访。 现利用网络窗口便利同大家进行交流。

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Analysis of China’s flour market, production & marketing and inventory  

2016-01-13 13:53:46|  分类: 食品行业研究 |  标签: |举报 |字号 订阅

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Synthesizing the data from the State Statistical Bureau and BOABC’s monitoring, domestic flour inventory at the end of October was 7.61 million tons, seeing increase from last month. Slight growth of production in October brought about monthly rise of sales-output ratio which was 99.85%, and the month-end inventory increased to some extent. 
Supply: according to the published data of State Statistical Bureau, flour output of enterprises above designated size was 13.142 million tons in October. Deducting statistical repetition of trans-regional Group corporations and exaggeration, BOABC predicts that the actual output of flour was 7.254 million tons; as for import, the import volume of flour in October was 2,400 tons; considering opening inventory and import, the total supply of flour in October was 8.002 million tons. October was busy season for production and marketing, the rise of hog price brought about the growth of sales volume of by-products and year-on-year growth of actual production of flour.
Consumption: urban household and eating-out consumption saw growth and promoted the increase of flour consumption. In October the total consumption of flour for food was 6.899 million tons. And the consumption of flour for household and catering respectively was 3.041 million tons and 2.237 million tons, the consumption of flour for food industry was 15.67 million tons (including 2.63 million tons for fine dried noodles). The consumption of flour for feed was 289,000 tons, and the industrial consumption of flour was 46,000 tons which mainly was used as adhesive in processing starch, timber and other fiber products. Synthesizing various consumptions, in October, the total consumption of flour in domestic was 7.234 million tons, the export volume was 9000 tons, and the total consumption was 7.243 million tons. 
From January to October, the total output of flour was 58.137 million tons; the import volume was 24,000 tons, the total supply was 65.39 million tons; the total consumption was 65.329 million tons. Faster growth of urban household and eating-out consumption was consistent with obvious sales growth in key wholesale markets.

More information ,please check chinese report<china grain market>

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