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独立经济研究者,东方艾格农业、食品分析师,新华社特约经济分析师。农民出身,从事粮食加工技术、粮食棉花的行业、世界经济、公司战略研究,尤其关注中国粮食安全、宏观经济和国际食品企业的研究。 每日接受来自世界各地媒体关于粮食、棉花、物价、宏观经济的等以民生内容的采访。 现利用网络窗口便利同大家进行交流。

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Wheat & flour consumption and safety situation analysis, November, 2017  

2017-11-24 11:42:13|  分类: 粮食安全 |  标签: |举报 |字号 订阅

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Comprehensively considering flouring making, feed consumption and industrial consumption, domestic consumption of wheat was 10.81 million tons in September. 9.832 million tons wheat was used for making flour, producing 7.276 million tons flour and 2.556 million tons by-product. The consumption of grain for feed and industry and loss totally was 973,000 tons; month-end inventory was 158 million tons, increasing 11.12 million tons (up 7.56%) from the same period last year, and monthly safety factor reached 14.5.

In wheat inventory structure aspect, the quantity of state-owned wheat was 118.80 million tons, accounting for 75.09% of domestic total volume of wheat; of which, temporary reserve , state reserve stock, traders’ inventory and farmers’ inventory respectively were 78.53 million tons, 39.27 million tons, 12.70 million tons and 38.13 million tons. Farmers have sold 84.14% wheat of them.

In this crop year, annual production is 132.4 million tons, which is higher than domestic consumption. The increase in import volume leads to the growth in domestic inventory.

Flour processing industry: flour production totally was 7.276 million tons, of which, enterprises above designated size and small enterprises respectively produced 7.01 million tons and 266,000 tons. The whole industry, enterprises above designated size and small enterprises respectively realized operation rates of 48.3%, 50.9% and 20.9%. The growth in operation rate pushed wheat price up.

The total sales of products were 29.4 billion yuan. The added value of operating revenue of the industry was about 4.7 billion yuan, the added value of wheat was about 4.65 yuan/ton, and value-added rate of processing was about 16.10%.

Monthly supply and consumption of flour: the supply and consumption of flour respectively were 8.003 million tons and 7.227 million tons. The consumption of flour for food was 6.899 million tons which includes 3.002 million tons for household, 2.165 million tons for catering and bakery. In household consumption, the consumption of urban household and rural household respectively was 737,000 tons and 2.265 million tons; flour consumption for food, feed and industries respectively was 1.743 million tons, 279,000 tons and 49,000 tons, month-end inventory of flour was 667,000 tons, and the sales rate of products was 99.7%. Month-end inventory of flour was 756,000 tons, and sales rate of products was 99.6%. 

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