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Global grain prices slightly decreased in October, and will rebound later.  

2017-11-30 08:28:16|  分类: 默认分类 |  标签: |举报 |字号 订阅

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In October, 2017, global grain prices continued to decline. Price growth from May to June supported global grain production and played an important role in preventing sharp decrease in global grain production as well as the slight decline of grain prices from August to October.

1      Grain prices:

1.1 According to BOABC’s monitoring, global grain composite index was USD275/MT in October, 2017, down 2.02% month on month and up 1.93% year on year. From January to October, 2017, the monthly average price was USD277/MT, down 0.22% year on year; deducting the influence of monetary factors, the price actually increased 0.86%, which supported global grain production to some extent and played a balancing role in global food security.

2.  Prices of main grain crops

2.1 Wheat prices: global average price of wheat was USD252/MT in October, while the nominal price decreased 0.44% month on month and increased 8.22% year on year. It increased 10.14% from the lowest level in December and decreased 32.08% from the highest level in 2011. Deducting the influence of monetary value, the price actually increased 1.03% month on month and 3.69% year on year.

2.2 Corn prices: global average price of corn was USD190/MT in October, decreasing 2.72% year on year and 0.93% month on month. Deducting the influence of monetary value, the price actually increased 0.54% month on month and decreased 7.25% year on year.

2.3 Prices of paddy and rice: global average price of rice was USD462/MT in October, down 3.99% month on month and up 1.11% year on year. From January to October, 2017, global average price of rice was USD473/MT, down 0.99% year on year. Deducting the influence of monetary value, the price actually increased 0.13% month on month. The growth in actual price shows production decrease in the new year.

2.8 Barley prices: global average price of barley was USD205/MT in October, down 0.07% month on month and 12.78% year on year, increasing 19.96% from the low level at the beginning of 2017 and decreasing 30.67% from the relatively high level in August, 2011; deducting the influence of monetary value, the monthly price actually increased 1.40% and 8.25% year on year.

2.9 Sorghum prices: global average price of sorghum was USD209/MT in October, up 4.16% year on year and down 0.57% month on month; deducting the influence of monetary value, the actual price increased 0.90% month on month and 0.37% year on year.

2.10 Oat prices: global price of oat was USD166/MT in October, up 12.10% month on month and 25.57% year on year. Deducting the influence of monetary value, the actual price increased 21.04% month on month. Sharp decrease in actual price shows great decline in oat production in the US.

2.11 Soybean prices: global average price of soybean was USD576/MT in October, up 4.91% year on year and 0.81% month on month. Deducting the influence of monetary value, the actual price increased 1.93% month on month and 1.06% year on year. Obvious growth in actual price in September and October shows that the actual production is lower than the expectation. 

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