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独立经济研究者,东方艾格农业、食品分析师,新华社特约经济分析师。农民出身,从事粮食加工技术、粮食棉花的行业、世界经济、公司战略研究,尤其关注中国粮食安全、宏观经济和国际食品企业的研究。 每日接受来自世界各地媒体关于粮食、棉花、物价、宏观经济的等以民生内容的采访。 现利用网络窗口便利同大家进行交流。

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The state continues to lower purchasing prices of grains for stockpiling, so we should take effective measures to address the negative effects.  

2017-11-08 11:23:41|  分类: 农业 |  标签: |举报 |字号 订阅

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On October, 27, 2017, the state published the minimum purchasing price of wheat in 2018 and will continue to implement minimum purchasing price policy in main wheat producing regions. The minimum purchasing price of wheat ( third-grade) produced in 2018 is 115yuan/50kg, and the state again lowers the minimum purchasing price of grain after reducing the price of temporary reserved corn in the autumn and winter of 2015, lowering purchasing price of early indica rice and stopping the temporary reserve policy for corn in the Northeast in 2016 and cutting down the minimum purchasing prices of early rice, medium and late indica rice and japonica rice in 2017. It’s the first time that the state lowers the minimum purchasing price of wheat since the policy was built in 2004. In recent years, a series of price reductions are the second best policies that the state has to implement.

High grain prices caused by non-market-orientation of grain seriously restrain the global competitiveness of China’s economy. Moreover. National grain stocks are increasing, grain imports continue to rise rapidly, imported grains go into the market, and domestic grains are stocked. This situation brings about heavy fiscal burden on the state and impacts the sound development of overall economy. The reduction in agricultural production has led to national economy depression, especially the economy in rural areas.

According to the data from the National Bureau of Statistics, the total income of 102 million local farmers in rural areas was 273.24 billion yuan and each labor realized an income of 1501yuan from January to September, 2017, decreasing 29.44% and 23.21% from the year before respectively. The sharp decrease in the income of these rural labors seriously impacts the total social demand in rural areas, indirectly influences the product demand of small and medium-sized enterprises and the demand of raw materials of large-scale state-owned enterprises, and seriously restricts the overall growth rate of national economy. It’s more important that more residents among 102 million agricultural producers will return to poor.

Facing with the negative effects of grain prices reduction on agricultural laborers and overall national economy in recent two years, we must take effective counter measures. 

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