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独立经济研究者,东方艾格农业、食品分析师,新华社特约经济分析师。农民出身,从事粮食加工技术、粮食棉花的行业、世界经济、公司战略研究,尤其关注中国粮食安全、宏观经济和国际食品企业的研究。 每日接受来自世界各地媒体关于粮食、棉花、物价、宏观经济的等以民生内容的采访。 现利用网络窗口便利同大家进行交流。

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Prices of raw grain and processed grain basically were stable in November  

2017-12-20 20:47:40|  分类: 民生 |  标签: |举报 |字号 订阅

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Prices of raw grain and processed grain basically were stable in November, and price scissors between industrial products and agricultural products enlarge

 

In November, total supply of autumn grain slightly declined. The prices of raw grain slightly decreased month on month and year on year, while the prices of processed grain realized slight year-on-year and month-on-month growth. Deducting the influence of money value, the prices of raw grain and processed grain both declined slightly. Compared with the actual decrease in grain prices, the prices of industrial products increased sharply, and the price scissors between industrial products and agricultural products enlarged, which led to the decline in actual income of agricultural production.  

 

1 Composite price: the composite price of main raw grains (wheat, corn and paddy) was 2327yuan/ton in November, down 0.20% month on month and 0.05% year on year. The decrease in paddy price and corn price led to the decline in overall price. The composite price of grain in November decreased 14.30% from the highest level in 2014 and increased 2.12% from the lowest level in this crop year. Deducting the influence of monetary value, the actual composite price increased 0.02% month on month and down 2.69% year on year.

In November, the comprehensive wholesale price of processed grain (flour, indica rice and japonica rice) was 3769yuan/ton, up 0.74% month on month and 2.79% year on year. Deducting the influence of monetary value, the actual price increased 0.96% month on month and 0.16% year on year. Though the prices of raw grain declined, the prices of processed grain increased, which show that the growth in the prices of downstream products was caused by the growth in cost in processing and circulation links.

2      Prices of main food by varieties:

1) Price of Wheat and flour : the wholesale price of wheat was 2511yuan/ton in November, up 3.55% year on year and 1.15% month on month, realizing growth for five successive months.

Deducting the influence of monetary value, the actual price increased 1.37% month on month and 0.91% year on year, realizing year-on-year growth for 12 successive months.

Flour price: the wholesale price of flour was 3379yuan/ton in November, up 0.15% month on month and 2.88% year on year; Deducting the influence of monetary value, the actual price increased 0.37% month on month and 0.24% year on year.

2) Prices of paddy and rice: the wholesale price of paddy was 2757yuan/ton in November, down 0.98% month on month and 0.37% year on year; Deducting the influence of monetary value, the actual price decreased 0.76% month on month and 5.93% year on year.

By verities, the prices of japonica rice, middle-late indica rice and early indica rice were 3003yuan/ton, 2760yuan/ton and 2508yuan/ton respectively in November, increasing -3.30%, 1.28% and -0.56% month on month, up -1.25%, 0.25% and 0.00% year on year.

Rice aspect: in November, domestic rice price was 4280yuan/ton, up 0.42% month on month and 1.89% year on year; Deducting the influence of monetary value, the actual price increased 0.62% month on month and decreased 0.74% year on year; the monthly average price of indica rice was 4063yuan/ton, up 1.28% year on year and 0.38% month on month; the monthly average price of japonica rice was 4683yuan/ton, up 0.43% month on month and 2.90% year on year.

3) Price of Corn starch ethyl acohol: the wholesale price of corn was 1718yuan/ton in November, down 0.07% month on month and 2.71% year on year. It decreased 35.32% from the highest level on record and increased 10.19% from the lowest level in February.

Corn starch: the price of corn starch was 2444yuan/ton in November, up 5.72% month on month and 8.82% year on year; Deducting the influence of monetary value, the actual price increased 5.94% month on month and 6.19% year on year.

Ethyl alcohol price: the average price was 5453yuan/ton in November, up 3.53% month on month and 11.92% year on year; Deducting the influence of monetary value, the actual price increased 3.75% month on month and 9.28% year on year. It increased 24.77% from the lowest level in June and decreased 23.10% from the highest level in April, 2011. 

4) Barley price: the wholesale price of home-grown barley was 1877yuan/ton in November, up 14.78% year on year and down 0.30% month on month. Large import volume brought down the prices of home-grown barley. Deducting the influence of monetary value, the actual price declined 0.08% month on month and increased 12.15% year on year.

The import price (CIF) of barley was 1787yuan/ton in November, up 0.34% month on month and 13.25% year on year; deducting the influence of monetary value, the actual price increased 0.55% year on year.

5) Sorghum: the average price of home-grown sorghum was 2279yuan/ton in November, down 9.91% month on month and up 21.34% year on year; deducting the influence of monetary value, the actual price increased 10.13% month on month and 18.71% year on year. The import price of sorghum was 1988yuan/ton, increasing 0.49% month on month and 5.84% year on year; deducting the influence of monetary value, the actual import price increased 0.71% month on month and 3.20% year on year.

6) Soybean: the average price of home-grown soybean was 3830yuan/ton in November, down 1.03% month on month and up 2.11% year on year. Deducting the influence of monetary value, the actual price of home-grown soybean declined 0.81% month on month and 0.52% year on year. The monthly import price of soybean was 3297yuan/ton, down 0.01% month on month and 9.56% year on year; deducting the influence of monetary value, the actual import price increased 0.21% month on month and decreased 12.19% year on year.

7) Potato: the retail price of potato was 3927yuan/ton in November, up 3.24% month on month and down 4.92% year on year; deducting the influence of monetary value, the actual price increased 3.46% month on month and decreased 7.56% year on year.

8) Hog price: the price of hog was 14.52yuan/kg in November, down 0.46% month on month and 14.29% year on year; deducting the influence of monetary value, the actual price decreased 0.24% month on month and 16.92% year on year. In international market, the price of lean meat of the U.S. hog was 9.25yuan/kg, up 3.84% month on month and 26.32% year on year; deducting the influence of monetary value, the actual price increased 4.06% month on month and 23.69% year on year.

9) Composite price of agricultural products: in November, the composite price of agricultural products was 188, down 0.67% month on month and 8.42% year on year; deducting the influence of monetary value, the actual price decreased 0.45% month on month and 11.05% year on year. It decreased 18.55% from the highest level on record and increased 3.41% from the relative low level in July. 

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