注册 登录  
 加关注
   显示下一条  |  关闭
温馨提示!由于新浪微博认证机制调整,您的新浪微博帐号绑定已过期,请重新绑定!立即重新绑定新浪微博》  |  关闭

Farmer

关注粮棉食品 关注农业农民 关注百姓民生

 
 
 
 
 

日志

 
 
关于我

独立经济研究者,东方艾格农业、食品分析师,新华社特约经济分析师。农民出身,从事粮食加工技术、粮食棉花的行业、世界经济、公司战略研究,尤其关注中国粮食安全、宏观经济和国际食品企业的研究。 每日接受来自世界各地媒体关于粮食、棉花、物价、宏观经济的等以民生内容的采访。 现利用网络窗口便利同大家进行交流。

网易考拉推荐
GACHA精选
 
 

China grain supply and demand analysis and forecast, April, 2017  

2017-04-26 11:31:45|  分类: 粮食安全 |  标签: |举报 |字号 订阅

  下载LOFTER 我的照片书  |


It is predicted that the total consumption of grain in China would be 640 million tons in 2016/17 (May-April), up by 3.67% from the year before. Among them, the consumption of grain for rations, feed and industry respectively was 310 million tons, 191 million tons and 101 million tons, increasing 1.56%, 3.55% and 8.93% from the year before, industrial grain consumption passed 100 million tons.
As for rations consumption, rural households consumption, urban households consumption and eating out consumption were 90.4 million tons, 83.74 million tons and 136 million tons, increasing -5.17% , 1.92% and 6.34% from the year before. In terms of feed consumption, the total consumption of concentrated feed was 266 million tons, up by 2.00% from the year earlier. Among them, the consumption of grain and oil byproduct was 74.61 million tons and the net consumption of feed grain was 191 million tons, increasing -1.78% and 3.55% from the year before separately. As for industrial consumption, deep processing consumed 47.13 million tons grain, and brewing consumed 53.61 million tons.
In terms of supply, synthesizing the balance available from previous year, output and imports in that vary year, the annual supply was estimated to be 1.03 billion tons in 2016/17, up by 3.45% over the previous year. Among them, imports are expected to reach 25.06 million tons (excluding soybeans), down about 25% from the previous year .
As for production, the sown area, per unit area yield and output of grain crops nationwide were 113.2 million hectares, 5467 kg / ha and 619 million tons, respectively down 0.12% , 0.30% and 0.42% from the year before. Imports continued to remain high, newly added supply was greater than the total domestic consumption, domestic stocks continued to rise, and the year-end inventory was 370 million tons at the end of the year crop, up 3.07% from the year before; safety factor dropped 0.29% from the previous year to 57.71%. The annual average comprehensive price index of raw grain in the crop year is expected to be 2297 yuan/ton, and the comprehensive price of finished grain would be 3649 yuan/ton.
According to the population at the end of 2015, per capita grain production in domestic was 448kg in 2016/17, down 0.913% over the previous year; per capita consumption of grain was 463.8 kg/year, up 3.08% from the year before. As for per capita consumption in the crop year, rations consumption, feed consumption and industrial consumption respectively were 224 kg, 138 kg and 72.9 kg, up 1.06%, 3.04% and 8.39%; about per capita consumption of rations, per capita consumption of rural households and urban households respectively was 153 kg and 106 kg, down by 2.77% and 0.88% year on year; as for eating out consumption, per capita consumption was 98.3 kg/year, up 5.82%, and the growth in eating out consumption led to the growth in overall rations consumption.  
The output of grain in 2016/2017 was 621 million tons, while total consumption of grain was 651 million tons of which grain consumption for rations, feed and industry respectively were 310 million tons, 196 million tons and 105 million tons. Feed consumption and industrial consumption of grain both saw growth. As for per capita consumption, total consumption of grain per capita was 469kg which includes 224kg for rations, 141kg for feed and 75.8kg for industry. Ending inventory of grain was 367.8 million tons, safety factor was 56.50%, overall price was 2085yuan/ton, and the price of processed grain was 3590yuan/ton and basically remained stable. 
China grain supply and demand analysis and forecast, April, 2017 - Farmer - Farmer
 
China grain supply and demand analysis and forecast, April, 2017 - Farmer - Farmer
 

来源:马文峰《中国粮食市场周报(20170418)》

  评论这张
 
阅读(47)| 评论(0)
推荐 转载

历史上的今天

在LOFTER的更多文章

评论

<#--最新日志,群博日志--> <#--推荐日志--> <#--引用记录--> <#--博主推荐--> <#--随机阅读--> <#--首页推荐--> <#--历史上的今天--> <#--被推荐日志--> <#--上一篇,下一篇--> <#-- 热度 --> <#-- 网易新闻广告 --> <#--右边模块结构--> <#--评论模块结构--> <#--引用模块结构--> <#--博主发起的投票-->
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

页脚

网易公司版权所有 ©1997-2017